Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.160158 0.185319 0.213107 0.246069 0.284105 0.326625 0.377775
2025-11-02 0.117689 0.150612 0.190716 0.243156 0.309939 0.392190 0.501287
2025-11-09 0.092690 0.127194 0.172174 0.235092 0.320874 0.433840 0.594136
2025-11-16 0.080100 0.116367 0.166337 0.240192 0.346647 0.494703 0.716672
2025-11-23 0.069679 0.106363 0.159394 0.241610 0.365969 0.547301 0.832433
2025-11-30 0.062152 0.099168 0.155028 0.245410 0.388143 0.605250 0.961489
2025-12-07 0.054105 0.089900 0.146084 0.240615 0.395909 0.641422 1.060275
2025-12-14 0.047857 0.082565 0.139061 0.237625 0.405568 0.680743 1.167439
2025-12-21 0.043693 0.078077 0.135983 0.240488 0.424734 0.736871 1.307852
2025-12-28 0.041466 0.076588 0.137662 0.251455 0.458618 0.820773 1.504562
2026-01-04 0.038821 0.073992 0.137041 0.258125 0.485387 0.894696 1.691109
2026-01-11 0.036359 0.071410 0.136095 0.263962 0.511035 0.968848 1.885543
2026-01-18 0.033588 0.067980 0.133320 0.266273 0.530761 1.034974 2.073962
2026-01-25 0.030457 0.063478 0.128020 0.263112 0.539599 1.081515 2.229900
2026-02-01 0.027105 0.058115 0.120406 0.254389 0.536221 1.103580 2.338765
2026-02-08 0.025577 0.056349 0.119805 0.259906 0.562446 1.187296 2.583277
2026-02-15 0.023822 0.053881 0.117463 0.261440 0.580350 1.255545 2.802232
2026-02-22 0.022463 0.052114 0.116393 0.265550 0.604146 1.338389 3.061481
2026-03-01 0.020482 0.048713 0.111397 0.260364 0.606727 1.375556 3.222852
2026-03-08 0.018850 0.045926 0.107461 0.257129 0.613316 1.422085 3.410358
2026-03-15 0.017815 0.044432 0.106307 0.260226 0.634892 1.504540 3.690490
2026-03-22 0.017431 0.044473 0.108726 0.272089 0.678543 1.642303 4.117532
2026-03-29 0.016767 0.043741 0.109222 0.279304 0.711642 1.758391 4.504009